Modelling the effect of discontinuing universal BCG vaccination in Taiwan

Fu, H., Lin, H.H., Hallett, T.B. and Arinaminpathy, N., 2018. Modelling the effect of discontinuing universal Bacillus Calmette-Guérin vaccination in an intermediate tuberculosis burden setting. Vaccine, 36(39), pp.5902-5909.

  • Discontinuing the BCG vaccine could increase the tuberculosis (TB) burden, requiring careful consideration against the costs and adverse effects of the vaccination program.
  • In regions with high vaccine efficacy (VE), stopping BCG could negatively impact health more than it would reduce side effects, due to the increased TB burden.
  • Improving early TB detection and starting treatment promptly might be more effective than BCG vaccination in controlling TB.
  • The immunity provided by BCG may wane over time, making the elderly less protected or not protected at all, even if they were vaccinated at birth.
  • Even in scenarios where BCG offers strong protection for up to 40 years, older adults are least affected by the cessation of the BCG vaccination program.
  • Instead of completely stopping the BCG vaccination, implementing selective vaccination could be a more viable alternative.
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